CAP 41%Draw 27%Guarani MG 32%Expected goals 1.23 – 1.12
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Guarani MG to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCAP to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.51
CAP vs Guarani MG: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CAP welcome Guarani MG for a Mineiro 2 fixture on Saturday 4 July (20:00 WAT).
Current form
CAP, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Caldense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Guarani MG, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mamoré, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CAP 1.2 xG, Guarani MG 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CAP 41%, draw 27%, Guarani MG 32%.
Price worth noting: Guarani MG to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: CAP 1–1 Guarani MG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CAP41%fair 2.43 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.90
Guarani MG32%fair 3.16 · @3.50
2.35Expected goals
1.23CAP xG
1.12Guarani MG xG
44%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: CAP 1.2 – 1.1 Guarani MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CAP to win✗
41%
2.43
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
CAP (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Guarani MG +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
CAP to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CAP / FT CAP✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.51
–
Recent results
CAP – last 6
WLDWDD
1 Jul
@ Caldense
2–1
W
28 Jun
vs Uberaba
0–1
L
25 Jun
vs BOA
0–0
D
21 Jun
@ BOA
2–0
W
17 Jun
@ Uberaba
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Caldense
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Guarani MG – last 6
DWLDDW
1 Jul
@ Mamoré
2–2
D
27 Jun
vs Caldense
2–0
W
23 Jun
@ Uberaba
1–2
L
20 Jun
vs Uberaba
2–2
D
17 Jun
@ Caldense
0–0
D
13 Jun
vs Mamoré
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CAP and Guarani MG.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win CAP vs Guarani MG?
On our numbers CAP have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Guarani MG 32%.
How many goals will there be in CAP vs Guarani MG?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CAP vs Guarani MG?
Our predicted score is CAP 1–1 Guarani MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is CAP vs Guarani MG?
CAP vs Guarani MG (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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