Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.56
Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Villa Nova travel to face Valeriodoce on Sunday 12 July in the Mineiro 2 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Valeriodoce, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Coimbra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Villa Nova, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aymorés, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valeriodoce 1.2 xG, Villa Nova 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valeriodoce 47%, draw 31%, Villa Nova 22%.
Lower-risk option: Valeriodoce or draw (78%) at 1.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Valeriodoce or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valeriodoce 1–0 Villa Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valeriodoce47%fair 2.13 · @1.95
Draw31%fair 3.26 · @2.90
Villa Nova22%fair 4.45 · @3.75
2.06Expected goals
1.20Valeriodoce xG
0.86Villa Nova xG
44%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Valeriodoce 1.2 – 0.9 Villa Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valeriodoce to win✓
47%
2.13
1.95
Double chance
Valeriodoce or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Valeriodoce (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Villa Nova +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Valeriodoce to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valeriodoce / FT Valeriodoce✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.56
–
Recent results
Valeriodoce – last 6
DWWDWD
5 Jul
@ Coimbra
0–0
D
2 Jul
vs Democrata SL
1–0
W
28 Jun
@ Aymorés
1–0
W
24 Jun
vs Ipatinga
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Ipatinga
1–0
W
18 Jun
vs Aymorés
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Villa Nova – last 6
DLWLWW
4 Jul
vs Aymorés
1–1
D
1 Jul
@ Coimbra
1–2
L
27 Jun
vs Ipatinga
6–0
W
24 Jun
@ Democrata SL
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Democrata SL
2–1
W
17 Jun
@ Ipatinga
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valeriodoce and Villa Nova.
What is the prediction for Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova?
Our pick is Valeriodoce or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova?
On our numbers Valeriodoce have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Villa Nova 22%.
How many goals will there be in Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova?
Our predicted score is Valeriodoce 1–0 Villa Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova?
Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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