Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFluminense to win ✗56% · @1.67
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independ. Rivadavia travel to face Fluminense on Tuesday 11 August in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, with Estádio do Maracanã the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Fluminense are 2nd on 8 points after 6 matches; Independ. Rivadavia are 1st with 16.
Current form
Fluminense, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Botafogo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Independ. Rivadavia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Fluminense.
Head to head
When they last met (7 May 2026) it ended Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Fluminense. The last 2 head-to-heads: Fluminense 0 wins, Independ. Rivadavia 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fluminense 1.7 xG, Independ. Rivadavia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fluminense 56%, draw 23%, Independ. Rivadavia 21%.
Lower-risk option: Fluminense or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fluminense 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fluminense56%fair 1.79 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.75
Independ. Rivadavia21%fair 4.83 · @4.90
2.71Expected goals
1.72Fluminense xG
0.99Independ. Rivadavia xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.7 – 1.0 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Independ. Rivadavia 21%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
