Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✗46% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 18 August the CONMEBOL Libertadores brings Independ. Rivadavia against Fluminense at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Independ. Rivadavia are 1st on 16 points after 6 matches; Fluminense are 2nd with 8.
Current form
Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Belgrano Cordoba, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Fluminense, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Palmeiras, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Aug 2026) it ended Fluminense 0–0 Independ. Rivadavia. The last 3 head-to-heads: Independ. Rivadavia 1 win, Fluminense 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independ. Rivadavia 1.3 xG, Fluminense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independ. Rivadavia 46%, draw 25%, Fluminense 30%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Fluminense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independ. Rivadavia46%fair 2.19 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.96
Fluminense30%fair 3.37 · @3.20
2.30Expected goals
1.31Independ. Rivadavia xG
0.99Fluminense xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.3 – 1.0 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fluminense 30%.
How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
