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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sagan Tosu v Shonan Bellmare: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Ekimae Real Estate Stadium

Sagan Tosu

LWWWW
1–0
FT

Shonan Bellmare

DLLLW
Sagan Tosu 41%Draw 29%Shonan Bellmare 30% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.03
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSagan Tosu to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.52

Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shonan Bellmare travel to face Sagan Tosu on Saturday 6 June in the J2 League, with Ekimae Real Estate Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Sagan Tosu are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Shonan Bellmare are 10th (upper half) with 23. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sagan Tosu, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Tokushima Vortis, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Shonan Bellmare, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Iwaki, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Sagan Tosu, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Shonan Bellmare.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sagan Tosu 1.2 xG, Shonan Bellmare 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sagan Tosu 41%, draw 29%, Shonan Bellmare 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sagan Tosu 1–1 Shonan Bellmare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sagan Tosu41%fair 2.44 · @2.05
Draw29%fair 3.47 · @3.20
Shonan Bellmare30%fair 3.31 · @3.35
2.24Expected goals
1.20Sagan Tosu xG
1.03Shonan Bellmare xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 1.2 – 1.0 Shonan Bellmare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Sagan TosuShonan Bellmare
Attack vs J2 League average-13%-15%
Goals conceded vs average-16%-24%
Our expected goals here0.930.85

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSagan Tosu to win ✓41%2.442.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.401.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.851.80
Draw no betSagan Tosu (draw no bet) ✓58%1.74–
Asian handicapShonan Bellmare +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.491.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreSagan Tosu to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu ✗23%4.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.52–

Recent results

Sagan Tosu – last 6

LWWWWW
30 May@ Tokushima Vortis1–3L
10 May@ Oita Trinita1–0W
6 Mayvs Gainare Tottori4–0W
25 Aprvs Biwako Shiga2–0W
19 Apr@ Roasso Kumamoto2–0W
12 Apr@ Kitakyushu1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Shonan Bellmare – last 6

DLLLWL
30 Mayvs Iwaki1–1D
24 May@ Montedio Yamagata1–3L
16 Mayvs Vegalta Sendai0–2L
10 Mayvs Yokohama FC0–1L
6 May@ Vanraure Hachinohe1–0W
2 Mayvs Tochigi City1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sagan Tosu and Shonan Bellmare.

Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub
FT Fujieda MYFC1 Ehime FC0 135%2.70X28%3.10237%2.45 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Omiya Ardija2 Kochi United1 157%1.68X24%3.65219%4.33 2.0–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Sagamihara3 Roasso Kumamoto0 143%2.25X26%3.10231%3.00 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✓
FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki2 Ventforet Kofu1 162%1.85X23%3.20215%4.00 1.8–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.44 ✓
FT Tochigi City3 Biwako Shiga1 154%1.70X24%3.50222%4.00 1.7–1.2xG 1XTochigi City or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
– Vegalta Sendai1 Kataller Toyama1 Pens 4–2 142%2.20X26%3.20232%3.00 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓
FT Yokohama FC2 Renofa Yamaguchi1 159%1.70X23%3.55218%4.33 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓
– Albirex Niigata0 Consadole Sapporo0 Pens 5–4 137%2.45X26%3.25237%2.60 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare?

On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Shonan Bellmare 30%.

How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare?

Our predicted score is Sagan Tosu 1–1 Shonan Bellmare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare?

Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.