Union Berlin vs Cagliari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 2 August the Friendlies Clubs brings Union Berlin against Cagliari. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Union Berlin, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dynamo Dresden, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Cagliari, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Modena, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cagliari, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Union Berlin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Berlin 1.6 xG, Cagliari 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Berlin 42%, draw 25%, Cagliari 33%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Berlin 1–1 Cagliari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Berlin42%fair 2.36 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.25
Cagliari33%fair 3.05 · @2.62
3.09Expected goals
1.65Union Berlin xG
1.44Cagliari xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Union Berlin 1.6 – 1.4 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Union Berlin
Cagliari
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+30%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-26%
Our expected goals here
1.68
1.49
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Berlin to win✗
42%
2.36
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.65
Draw no bet
Union Berlin (draw no bet)
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Cagliari +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Union Berlin to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Berlin / FT Union Berlin✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.22
–
Recent results
Union Berlin – last 6
LLDLDW
1 Aug
@ Dynamo Dresden
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ FC Aarau
1–2
L
17 Jul
@ FC Winterthur
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena
0–2
L
9 Jul
@ Chemnitzer FC
1–1
D
4 Jul
@ Optik Rathenow
12–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 6
WDWWDW
28 Jul
vs Modena
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Sampdoria
0–0
D
24 May
@ AC Milan
2–1
W
17 May
vs Torino
2–1
W
3 May
@ Bologna
0–0
D
27 Apr
vs Atalanta
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Berlin and Cagliari.
What is the prediction for Union Berlin vs Cagliari?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Union Berlin vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Union Berlin have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cagliari 33%.
How many goals will there be in Union Berlin vs Cagliari?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Union Berlin 1–1 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Union Berlin vs Cagliari?
Union Berlin vs Cagliari (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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