Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultCastellón to win ✗55% · @1.81
Double chanceCastellón or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Castellón vs Almeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Almeria travel to face Castellón on Saturday 6 June in the Segunda División, with Estadio Municipal Castalia the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Castellón are 2nd, among the top four, on 27 points after 12 matches; Almeria are 1st (leading the league) with 29. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Castellón, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Eibar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Almeria, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Valladolid, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Castellón 2–0 Almeria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castellón 1.8 xG, Almeria 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castellón 55%, draw 26%, Almeria 19%.
Lower-risk option: Castellón or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Castellón or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellón 1–1 Almeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castellón55%fair 1.81 · @1.81
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.75
Almeria19%fair 5.18 · @4.00
2.79Expected goals
1.78Castellón xG
1.01Almeria xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Castellón 1.8 – 1.0 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Castellón
Almeria
Attack vs Segunda División average
+29%
+32%
Goals conceded vs average
-43%
-26%
Our expected goals here
1.50
0.89
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Castellón or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Castellón vs Almeria?
On our numbers Castellón have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Almeria 19%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón vs Almeria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellón vs Almeria?
Our predicted score is Castellón 1–1 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Castellón vs Almeria?
Castellón vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Castalia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
