Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Almeria vs Castellón: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 9 June the Segunda División brings Almeria against Castellón at UD Almeria Stadium. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Almeria are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 13 matches; Castellón are 2nd (among the top four) with 27. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Almeria, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Castellón, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Castellón, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Almeria, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Castellón, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Almeria.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Castellón 1–1 Almeria. The last 2 head-to-heads: Almeria 0 wins, Castellón 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almeria 1.4 xG, Castellón 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almeria 39%, draw 26%, Castellón 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almeria 1–0 Castellón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almeria39%fair 2.58 · @2.24
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.45
Castellón35%fair 2.85 · @3.00
2.66Expected goals
1.36Almeria xG
1.30Castellón xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Almeria 1.4 – 1.3 Castellón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Almeria
Castellón
Attack vs Segunda División average
+32%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-43%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.13
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Either team to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Almeria vs Castellón?
On our numbers Almeria have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Castellón 35%.
How many goals will there be in Almeria vs Castellón?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almeria vs Castellón?
Our predicted score is Almeria 1–0 Castellón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Almeria vs Castellón?
Almeria vs Castellón (Segunda División) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at UD Almeria Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
