Matsumoto Yamaga v Nara Club Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Jun) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗53% · @1.67

Double chanceMatsumoto Yamaga or draw ✗78% · @1.14

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Nara Club: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Matsumoto Yamaga welcome Nara Club to Sunpro Alwin for a J2 League fixture on Saturday 6 June (06:00 WAT).

Current form

Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Montedio Yamagata, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Nara Club, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Oita Trinita, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Nara Club, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Matsumoto Yamaga 1.9 xG, Nara Club 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Matsumoto Yamaga 53%, draw 25%, Nara Club 22%.
Lower-risk option: Matsumoto Yamaga or draw (78%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Nara Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Matsumoto Yamaga53%fair 1.88 · @1.67

Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.55

Nara Club22%fair 4.59 · @4.60

3.11Expected goals

1.85Matsumoto Yamaga xG

1.25Nara Club xG

61%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–110%

1–08%

2–08%

1–27%

2–26%

From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 1.9 – 1.3 Nara Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Matsumoto Yamaga	Nara Club
Attack vs J2 League average	+5%	+27%
Goals conceded vs average	-11%	+18%
Our expected goals here	1.73	1.35

Matsumoto Yamaga

Nara Club

Attack vs J2 League average

+5%

+27%

Goals conceded vs average

-11%

+18%

Our expected goals here

1.73

1.35

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Matsumoto Yamaga to win ✗	53%	1.88	1.67
Double chance	Matsumoto Yamaga or draw ✗	78%	1.28	1.14
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	61%	1.65	1.70
Draw no bet	Matsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet) ✗	71%	1.41	–
Asian handicap	Nara Club +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.77	1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.54	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
First team to score	Matsumoto Yamaga to score first ✗	57%	1.76	–
Half-time result	Matsumoto Yamaga ahead at half-time ✗	39%	2.58	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✗	32%	3.15	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.39	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Matsumoto Yamaga to win ✗

53%

1.88

1.67

Double chance

Matsumoto Yamaga or draw ✗

78%

1.28

1.14

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

61%

1.65

1.70

Draw no bet

Matsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet) ✗

71%

1.41

–

Asian handicap

Nara Club +1 (Asian handicap) ✓

63%

1.60

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

78%

1.28

1.25

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✗

57%

1.77

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

65%

1.54

1.38

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

80%

1.25

–

First team to score

Matsumoto Yamaga to score first ✗

57%

1.76

–

Half-time result

Matsumoto Yamaga ahead at half-time ✗

39%

2.58

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✗

32%

3.15

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

10%

10.39

–

31 May	@ Montedio Yamagata	1–1	D
6 May	@ FC Gifu	3–0	W
3 May	vs Ventforet Kofu	0–1	L
26 Apr	vs Parceiro Nagano	0–1	L
18 Apr	@ Consadole Sapporo	1–2	L
12 Apr	vs Omiya Ardija	4–1	W

30 May	vs Oita Trinita	3–3	D
23 May	vs Kataller Toyama	5–1	W
16 May	@ Albirex Niigata	1–2	L
10 May	@ Tokushima Vortis	2–1	W
6 May	vs Osaka	1–3	L
3 May	@ Imabari	2–1	W

Matsumoto Yamaga v Nara Club: numbers & prediction