Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultThailand to win ✓61% · @1.30
Double chanceThailand or draw ✓83% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Philippines vs Thailand: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Philippines welcome Thailand to New Clark City Athletics Stadium for a ASEAN Championship fixture on Tuesday 4 August (14:00 WAT).
Current form
Philippines, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Laos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Thailand, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Malaysia, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Philippines 1.2 xG, Thailand 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Philippines 17%, draw 21%, Thailand 61%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philippines 1–2 Thailand. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Philippines17%fair 5.81 · @8.60
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.60
Thailand61%fair 1.63 · @1.30
3.24Expected goals
1.22Philippines xG
2.02Thailand xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Philippines 1.2 – 2.0 Thailand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Thailand to win✓
61%
1.63
1.30
Double chance
Thailand or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Thailand (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Philippines +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
First team to score
Thailand to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Thailand ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Thailand / FT Thailand✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Philippines – last 5
WLWWD
1 Aug
@ Laos
4–1
W
28 Jul
vs Myanmar
1–4
L
9 Jun
vs Myanmar
5–1
W
3 Jun
vs Guam
5–1
W
31 Mar
@ Tajikistan
1–1
D
3.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Thailand – last 5
WWDDW
1 Aug
vs Malaysia
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Laos
5–0
W
9 Jun
@ China
0–0
D
5 Jun
vs Kuwait
2–2
D
31 Mar
vs Turkmenistan
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Philippines and Thailand.
What is the prediction for Philippines vs Thailand?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Philippines vs Thailand?
On our numbers Philippines have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Thailand 61%.
How many goals will there be in Philippines vs Thailand?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philippines vs Thailand?
Our predicted score is Philippines 1–2 Thailand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Philippines vs Thailand?
Philippines vs Thailand (ASEAN Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 4 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at New Clark City Athletics Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Myanmar7
Laos2