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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tacuarembo v Uruguay Montevideo: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Tacuarembo 40%Draw 30%Uruguay Montevideo 30% Expected goals 1.14 – 0.93
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTacuarembo to win ✓40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.06

Tacuarembo vs Uruguay Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 7 June the Segunda División brings Tacuarembo against Uruguay Montevideo. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Tacuarembo are 13th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 25 matches; Uruguay Montevideo are 14th (in the drop zone) with 22.

Current form

Tacuarembo, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Oriental, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Uruguay Montevideo, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Plaza Colonia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tacuarembo 1.1 xG, Uruguay Montevideo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tacuarembo 40%, draw 30%, Uruguay Montevideo 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacuarembo 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tacuarembo40%fair 2.51 · @2.40
Draw30%fair 3.37 · @2.90
Uruguay Montevideo30%fair 3.28 · @2.95
2.08Expected goals
1.14Tacuarembo xG
0.93Uruguay Montevideo xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Tacuarembo 1.1 – 0.9 Uruguay Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

TacuaremboUruguay Montevideo
Attack vs Segunda División average-28%-21%
Goals conceded vs average+3%+14%
Our expected goals here1.070.83

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTacuarembo to win ✓40%2.512.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70%1.421.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.922.15 ▲
Draw no betTacuarembo (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapUruguay Montevideo +1 (Asian handicap)78%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.641.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.521.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreTacuarembo to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tacuarembo / FT Tacuarembo ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.06–

Recent results

Tacuarembo – last 6

LWWLLL
1 Jun@ Oriental0–2L
24 Mayvs Colón2–0W
17 May@ Fenix2–1W
18 Apr@ Atenas0–1L
13 Aprvs Sportivo Huracan0–2L
5 Apr@ Fenix2–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Uruguay Montevideo – last 6

WLLLWD
30 Mayvs Plaza Colonia2–0W
24 May@ La Luz0–2L
9 May@ Atenas1–2L
6 Apr@ Cerrito1–2L
1 Apr@ Atenas1–0W
22 Marvs Sportivo Huracan1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tacuarembo and Uruguay Montevideo.

Tacuarembo vs Uruguay Montevideo head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tacuarembo vs Uruguay Montevideo?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Tacuarembo vs Uruguay Montevideo?

On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Uruguay Montevideo 30%.

How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs Uruguay Montevideo?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs Uruguay Montevideo?

Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Tacuarembo vs Uruguay Montevideo?

Tacuarembo vs Uruguay Montevideo (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.