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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Miramar v Oriental: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Uruguay · Parque Palermo

Miramar

WDLDD
2–2
FT
Miramar 35%Draw 28%Oriental 36% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.09
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultOriental to win ✗36% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.66

Miramar vs Oriental: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Monday 8 June: Miramar v Oriental in the Segunda División, played at Parque Palermo. In the table, Miramar are 12th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 25 matches; Oriental are 6th (upper half) with 34.

Current form

Miramar, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Colón, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Oriental, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tacuarembo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Oriental, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Miramar.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Oriental 2–1 Miramar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Miramar 1.1 xG, Oriental 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Miramar 35%, draw 28%, Oriental 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miramar 1–1 Oriental. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Miramar35%fair 2.83 · @2.90
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.95
Oriental36%fair 2.75 · @2.40
2.17Expected goals
1.08Miramar xG
1.09Oriental xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Miramar 1.1 – 1.1 Oriental expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MiramarOriental
Attack vs Segunda División average-13%+10%
Goals conceded vs average+2%+2%
Our expected goals here1.151.14

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOriental to win ✗36%2.752.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.391.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.932.10 ▲
Draw no betOriental (draw no bet)51%1.97–
Asian handicapMiramar +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.591.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.571.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.241.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreOriental to score first44%2.25–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓20%5.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.66–

Recent results

Miramar – last 6

WDLDDL
30 May@ Colón3–1W
25 Mayvs Fenix1–1D
17 May@ Rentistas0–1L
10 Mayvs CA River Plate1–1D
29 Apr@ Rentistas1–1D
12 Apr@ Oriental1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Oriental – last 6

WLDLWW
1 Junvs Tacuarembo2–0W
22 May@ Plaza Colonia1–3L
18 Mayvs La Luz0–0D
3 May@ Fenix0–1L
20 Apr@ Rentistas2–1W
12 Aprvs Miramar2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Oriental v Miramar2–1
Miramar vs Oriental head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Miramar vs Oriental?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Miramar vs Oriental?

On our numbers Miramar have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Oriental 36%.

How many goals will there be in Miramar vs Oriental?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Miramar vs Oriental?

Our predicted score is Miramar 1–1 Oriental, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Miramar vs Oriental?

Miramar vs Oriental (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 8 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.