Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKuPS to win ✗51% · @1.80
Double chanceKuPS or draw ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
KuPS vs VPS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
KuPS welcome VPS to Vare Areena for a Suomen Cup fixture on Wednesday 10 June (15:00 WAT).
Current form
KuPS, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Inter Turku, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
VPS, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Turku PS, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KuPS 2.3 xG, VPS 1.6 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KuPS 51%, draw 25%, VPS 24%.
Lower-risk option: KuPS or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was KuPS or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: KuPS 2–1 VPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KuPS51%fair 1.97 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.40
VPS24%fair 4.16 · @3.50
3.83Expected goals
2.26KuPS xG
1.57VPS xG
62%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
3–17%
1–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: KuPS 2.3 – 1.6 VPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KuPS to win✗
51%
1.97
1.80
Double chance
KuPS or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
KuPS (draw no bet)
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
VPS +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
First team to score
KuPS to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
KuPS ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KuPS / FT KuPS✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
KuPS – last 6
DWWWWD
30 May
vs Inter Turku
1–1
D
26 May
@ JäPS
1–0
W
23 May
vs Lahti
2–1
W
20 May
vs FF Jaro
3–0
W
12 May
@ PK-35
2–0
W
8 May
vs SJK
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
VPS – last 6
LWWDWW
30 May
@ Turku PS
0–1
L
26 May
vs Haka
4–0
W
22 May
vs HJK Helsinki
2–1
W
18 May
@ Lahti
1–1
D
13 May
vs ÅIFK
7–0
W
29 Apr
@ Leki
9–1
W
3.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KuPS and VPS.
Our pick is KuPS or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win KuPS vs VPS?
On our numbers KuPS have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and VPS 24%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs VPS?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs VPS?
Our predicted score is KuPS 2–1 VPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs VPS?
KuPS vs VPS (Suomen Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 10 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vare Areena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Suomen Cup · Finland · Vare Areena
Ilves5
Lahti2
SJK1
Inter Turku2