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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lithuania v Latvia: numbers & prediction

Baltic Cup · Europe

Lithuania

LW
1–1
–Pens 5–4

Latvia

WW
Lithuania 46%Draw 26%Latvia 28% Expected goals 1.50 – 0.93
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLithuania to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.86

Lithuania vs Latvia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Latvia travel to face Lithuania on Saturday 6 June in the Baltic Cup – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lithuania 1.5 xG, Latvia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lithuania 46%, draw 26%, Latvia 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lithuania 1–0 Latvia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lithuania46%fair 2.16 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.20
Latvia28%fair 3.57 · @2.90
2.43Expected goals
1.50Lithuania xG
0.93Latvia xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Lithuania 1.5 – 0.9 Latvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLithuania to win ✗46%2.162.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.80
Draw no betLithuania (draw no bet)62%1.60–
Asian handicapLatvia +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreLithuania to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lithuania / FT Lithuania ✗30%3.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.86–

Recent results

Lithuania – last 2

LW
29 Marvs Georgia0–2L
26 Mar@ Moldova2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Latvia – last 2

WW
31 Marvs Gibraltar1–0W
26 Mar@ Gibraltar1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lithuania and Latvia.

Lithuania vs Latvia head-to-head page →

More Baltic Cup predictions

FT Estonia1 Faroe Islands0 143%2.45X29%3.20229%2.65 1.2–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lithuania vs Latvia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Lithuania vs Latvia?

On our numbers Lithuania have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Latvia 28%.

How many goals will there be in Lithuania vs Latvia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lithuania vs Latvia?

Our predicted score is Lithuania 1–0 Latvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Lithuania vs Latvia?

Lithuania vs Latvia (Baltic Cup) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.