HNK Rijeka 66%Draw 20%Rudes 14%Expected goals 2.10 – 0.99
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓66% · @1.21
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.07
HNK Rijeka vs Rudes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Rijeka welcome Rudes to Stadion HNK Rijeka for a HNL fixture on Sunday 2 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, HNK Rijeka are 6th, lower half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Rudes are 8th (in the drop zone) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
HNK Rijeka, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Derry City, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Rudes, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Göztepe, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours HNK Rijeka, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Rudes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Rijeka 2.1 xG, Rudes 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Rijeka 66%, draw 20%, Rudes 14%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Rijeka 2–0 Rudes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Rijeka66%fair 1.51 · @1.21
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @5.25
Rudes14%fair 7.09 · @13.00
3.08Expected goals
2.10HNK Rijeka xG
0.99Rudes xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 2.1 – 1.0 Rudes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Rijeka to win✓
66%
1.51
1.21
Double chance
HNK Rijeka or draw✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
HNK Rijeka (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
HNK Rijeka -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
First team to score
HNK Rijeka to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
HNK Rijeka ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka✓
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
HNK Rijeka – last 6
WWWWWW
30 Jul
@ Derry City
1–0
W
23 Jul
vs Derry City
1–0
W
3 Jul
@ Radomlje
2–0
W
30 Jun
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
3–0
W
27 Jun
@ Bravo
2–1
W
23 May
vs HNK Gorica
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rudes – last 6
DLWWWD
26 Jul
@ Göztepe
1–1
D
1 Jul
vs Cukaricki
3–4
L
29 May
vs Sesvete
3–1
W
23 May
@ Dugopolje
3–0
W
8 May
@ Karlovac 1919
3–0
W
2 May
vs Dubrava Zagreb
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Rijeka and Rudes.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs Rudes?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rudes 14%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs Rudes?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs Rudes?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 2–0 Rudes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs Rudes?
HNK Rijeka vs Rudes (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
