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NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v HNK Gorica: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Stadion Maksimir

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

WWDWD
3–1
FT

HNK Gorica

LLLWL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 55%Draw 25%HNK Gorica 20% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.03
80%
Betarazi pick

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultNK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win ✓55% · @1.94
Double chanceNK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

HNK Gorica travel to face NK Lokomotiva Zagreb on Saturday 8 August in the HNL, with Stadion Maksimir the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 9th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 13 matches; HNK Gorica are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7.

Current form

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Istra 1961, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

HNK Gorica, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to NK Osijek, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for HNK Gorica.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended HNK Gorica 0–2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.8 xG, HNK Gorica 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 55%, draw 25%, HNK Gorica 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw (80%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 HNK Gorica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb55%fair 1.83 · @1.94
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.35
HNK Gorica20%fair 4.93 · @3.65
2.86Expected goals
1.82NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
1.03HNK Gorica xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
0–16%

From our goals model: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.8 – 1.0 HNK Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win ✓55%1.831.94 ▲
Double chanceNK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.70
Draw no betNK Lokomotiva Zagreb (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapHNK Gorica +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.441.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreNK Lokomotiva Zagreb to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultNK Lokomotiva Zagreb ahead at half-time ✓41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT NK Lokomotiva Zagreb / FT NK Lokomotiva Zagreb ✓35%2.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – last 6

WWDWDW
1 Aug@ Istra 19613–2W
25 Julvs Sturm Graz II4–0W
17 Julvs Karpaty0–0D
13 Julvs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi3–1W
10 Julvs FK Partizan2–2D
4 Julvs Bravo3–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

HNK Gorica – last 6

LLLWLW
1 Augvs NK Osijek0–2L
23 Julvs Shakhtar Donetsk0–2L
19 Jul@ FC St. Pauli1–2L
16 Julvs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1–0W
13 Julvs Göztepe0–2L
4 Julvs Zorya Luhansk2–1W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026HNK Gorica v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

More HNL predictions

League hub
– HNK Rijeka Dinamo Zagreb 131%2.86X25%3.30244%2.28 1.2–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28
FT Rudes1 NK Osijek6 129%3.79X25%3.50246%1.85 1.3–1.5xG 12Either team to win 75% ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Our pick is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

On our numbers NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and HNK Gorica 20%.

How many goals will there be in NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Our predicted score is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 HNK Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Maksimir.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.