NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NK Slaven Belupo welcome HNK Gorica to Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas for a HNL fixture on Saturday 22 August (17:30 WAT). In the table, NK Slaven Belupo are 7th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; HNK Gorica are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
NK Slaven Belupo, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Istra 1961, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
HNK Gorica, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to HNK Hajduk Split, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NK Slaven Belupo 1.5 xG, HNK Gorica 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NK Slaven Belupo 38%, draw 23%, HNK Gorica 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 HNK Gorica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NK Slaven Belupo38%fair 2.66 · @2.74
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.20
HNK Gorica40%fair 2.53 · @2.44
2.99Expected goals
1.47NK Slaven Belupo xG
1.52HNK Gorica xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: NK Slaven Belupo 1.5 – 1.5 HNK Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Gorica to win✗
40%
2.53
2.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Draw no bet
HNK Gorica (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
NK Slaven Belupo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
HNK Gorica to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Gorica / FT HNK Gorica✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
NK Slaven Belupo – last 6
LLLWDL
15 Aug
@ Istra 1961
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs NK Varazdin
1–4
L
31 Jul
@ Dinamo Zagreb
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Sesvete
4–0
W
21 Jul
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
2–2
D
16 Jul
@ Paks
3–5
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
HNK Gorica – last 6
LLLLLW
16 Aug
vs HNK Hajduk Split
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs NK Osijek
0–2
L
23 Jul
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
0–2
L
19 Jul
@ FC St. Pauli
1–2
L
16 Jul
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Gorica.
What is the prediction for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
On our numbers NK Slaven Belupo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and HNK Gorica 40%.
How many goals will there be in NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
Our predicted score is NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 HNK Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
