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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

HNK Gorica v HNK Rijeka: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
0–0
FT
HNK Gorica 12%Draw 25%HNK Rijeka 63% Expected goals 0.88 – 2.12
63%
Betarazi pick

HNK Rijeka to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✗63% · @1.57
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15

HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

HNK Rijeka travel to face HNK Gorica on Monday 31 August in the HNL, with Gradski stadion Velika Gorica the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, HNK Gorica are 10th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 13 matches; HNK Rijeka are 6th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

HNK Gorica, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to NK Slaven Belupo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

HNK Rijeka, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to FC Midtjylland, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours HNK Rijeka, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for HNK Gorica.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended HNK Rijeka 2–0 HNK Gorica. The last 2 head-to-heads: HNK Gorica 1 win, HNK Rijeka 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HNK Gorica 0.9 xG, HNK Rijeka 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Gorica 12%, draw 25%, HNK Rijeka 63%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was HNK Rijeka to win (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Gorica 0–2 HNK Rijeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HNK Gorica12%fair 8.43 · @5.50
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.60
HNK Rijeka63%fair 1.59 · @1.57
3.00Expected goals
0.88HNK Gorica xG
2.12HNK Rijeka xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: HNK Gorica 0.9 – 2.1 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Rijeka to win ✗63%1.591.57
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓88%1.131.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.981.85
Draw no betHNK Rijeka (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapHNK Rijeka -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreHNK Rijeka to score first ✗67%1.49–
Half-time resultHNK Rijeka ahead at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

HNK Gorica – last 6

LLLLLL
22 Aug@ NK Slaven Belupo0–2L
16 Augvs HNK Hajduk Split1–2L
8 Aug@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–3L
1 Augvs NK Osijek0–2L
23 Julvs Shakhtar Donetsk0–2L
19 Jul@ FC St. Pauli1–2L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

HNK Rijeka – last 6

LWLLDW
27 Augvs FC Midtjylland1–4L
23 Augvs Istra 19613–2W
20 Aug@ FC Midtjylland0–2L
16 Aug@ NK Varazdin0–2L
13 Aug@ Ilves1–1D
6 Augvs Ilves1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026HNK Rijeka v HNK Gorica2–0
22 Mar 2026HNK Gorica v HNK Rijeka4–0
HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

More HNL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka?

Our pick is HNK Rijeka to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka?

On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and HNK Rijeka 63%.

How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka?

Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 0–2 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka?

HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka (HNL) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.