HNK Gorica 12%Draw 25%HNK Rijeka 63%Expected goals 0.88 – 2.12
63%
Betarazi pick
HNK Rijeka to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✗63% · @1.57
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Rijeka travel to face HNK Gorica on Monday 31 August in the HNL, with Gradski stadion Velika Gorica the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, HNK Gorica are 10th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 13 matches; HNK Rijeka are 6th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
HNK Gorica, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to NK Slaven Belupo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
HNK Rijeka, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to FC Midtjylland, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours HNK Rijeka, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for HNK Gorica.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended HNK Rijeka 2–0 HNK Gorica. The last 2 head-to-heads: HNK Gorica 1 win, HNK Rijeka 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Gorica 0.9 xG, HNK Rijeka 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Gorica 12%, draw 25%, HNK Rijeka 63%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was HNK Rijeka to win (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Gorica 0–2 HNK Rijeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Gorica12%fair 8.43 · @5.50
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.60
HNK Rijeka63%fair 1.59 · @1.57
3.00Expected goals
0.88HNK Gorica xG
2.12HNK Rijeka xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: HNK Gorica 0.9 – 2.1 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka?
Our pick is HNK Rijeka to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka?
On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and HNK Rijeka 63%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka?
Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 0–2 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka?
HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka (HNL) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.