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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

NK Osijek v NK Slaven Belupo: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Opus Arena
3–0
FT
NK Osijek 64%Draw 21%NK Slaven Belupo 15% Expected goals 2.23 – 1.02
85%
Betarazi pick

NK Osijek or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: NK Osijek to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNK Osijek to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceNK Osijek or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17

NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

NK Slaven Belupo travel to face NK Osijek on Sunday 30 August in the HNL, with Opus Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, NK Osijek are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 13 matches; NK Slaven Belupo are 7th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

NK Osijek, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to HNK Hajduk Split, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

NK Slaven Belupo, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over HNK Gorica, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours NK Osijek, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for NK Slaven Belupo.

Head to head

When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended NK Osijek 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo. The last 2 head-to-heads: NK Osijek 1 win, NK Slaven Belupo 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NK Osijek 2.2 xG, NK Slaven Belupo 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – NK Osijek 64%, draw 21%, NK Slaven Belupo 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: NK Osijek or draw (85%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: NK Osijek to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was NK Osijek or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Osijek 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

NK Osijek64%fair 1.57 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.80
NK Slaven Belupo15%fair 6.72 · @4.40
3.25Expected goals
2.23NK Osijek xG
1.02NK Slaven Belupo xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: NK Osijek 2.2 – 1.0 NK Slaven Belupo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNK Osijek to win ✓64%1.571.67 ▲
Double chanceNK Osijek or draw ✓85%1.171.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.67
Draw no betNK Osijek (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapNK Osijek -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreNK Osijek to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultNK Osijek ahead at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT NK Osijek / FT NK Osijek ✓42%2.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

NK Osijek – last 6

LWWWLW
23 Aug@ HNK Hajduk Split0–4L
15 Augvs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0W
8 Aug@ Rudes6–1W
1 Aug@ HNK Gorica2–0W
25 Julvs Rizespor1–3L
22 Julvs HNK Cibalia3–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

NK Slaven Belupo – last 6

WLLLWD
22 Augvs HNK Gorica2–0W
15 Aug@ Istra 19610–3L
9 Augvs NK Varazdin1–4L
31 Jul@ Dinamo Zagreb0–2L
25 Julvs Sesvete4–0W
21 Julvs Shakhtar Donetsk2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 May 2026NK Osijek v NK Slaven Belupo2–0
22 Mar 2026NK Slaven Belupo v NK Osijek0–0
NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?

Our pick is NK Osijek or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?

On our numbers NK Osijek have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NK Slaven Belupo 15%.

How many goals will there be in NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?

Our predicted score is NK Osijek 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?

NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Opus Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.