NK Varazdin 69%Draw 19%Rudes 12%Expected goals 2.53 – 1.01
82%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNK Varazdin to win ✓69% · @1.29
Double chanceNK Varazdin or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
NK Varazdin vs Rudes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NK Varazdin welcome Rudes to Gradski stadion Varazdin for a HNL fixture on Saturday 29 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, NK Varazdin are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Rudes are 8th (in the drop zone) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
NK Varazdin, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Rudes, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours NK Varazdin, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Rudes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NK Varazdin 2.5 xG, Rudes 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NK Varazdin 69%, draw 19%, Rudes 12%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Varazdin 2–1 Rudes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NK Varazdin69%fair 1.44 · @1.29
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @4.80
Rudes12%fair 8.27 · @9.40
3.54Expected goals
2.53NK Varazdin xG
1.01Rudes xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: NK Varazdin 2.5 – 1.0 Rudes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Varazdin to win✓
69%
1.44
1.29
Double chance
NK Varazdin or draw✓
88%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
NK Varazdin (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
NK Varazdin -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
First team to score
NK Varazdin to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
NK Varazdin ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Varazdin / FT NK Varazdin✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
NK Varazdin – last 6
LWWWLW
22 Aug
@ Dinamo Zagreb
1–3
L
16 Aug
vs HNK Rijeka
2–0
W
9 Aug
@ NK Slaven Belupo
4–1
W
2 Aug
vs HNK Hajduk Split
2–1
W
30 Jul
@ FK Jablonec
0–2
L
23 Jul
vs FK Jablonec
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rudes – last 6
WLLLDL
21 Aug
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4–1
W
14 Aug
@ Dinamo Zagreb
0–4
L
8 Aug
vs NK Osijek
1–6
L
2 Aug
@ HNK Rijeka
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Göztepe
1–1
D
1 Jul
vs Cukaricki
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Varazdin and Rudes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs Rudes?
On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rudes 12%.
How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs Rudes?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs Rudes?
Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 2–1 Rudes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is NK Varazdin vs Rudes?
NK Varazdin vs Rudes (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Varazdin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
