HNK Rijeka 65%Draw 21%NK Osijek 14%Expected goals 2.11 – 0.89
86%
Betarazi pick
HNK Rijeka or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: HNK Rijeka to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Rijeka welcome NK Osijek to Stadion HNK Rijeka for a HNL fixture on Saturday 5 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, HNK Rijeka are 6th, lower half, on 18 points after 12 matches; NK Osijek are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
HNK Rijeka, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with HNK Gorica, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
NK Osijek, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over NK Slaven Belupo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours NK Osijek, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for HNK Rijeka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Rijeka 2.1 xG, NK Osijek 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Rijeka 65%, draw 21%, NK Osijek 14%.
Lower-risk option: HNK Rijeka or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: HNK Rijeka to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was HNK Rijeka or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Rijeka 2–0 NK Osijek. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Rijeka65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
NK Osijek14%fair 7.05 · @4.20
3.00Expected goals
2.11HNK Rijeka xG
0.89NK Osijek xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 2.1 – 0.9 NK Osijek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Rijeka to win✓
65%
1.54
1.75 ▲
Double chance
HNK Rijeka or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
HNK Rijeka (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
HNK Rijeka -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
HNK Rijeka to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
HNK Rijeka ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
HNK Rijeka – last 6
DLWLLD
31 Aug
@ HNK Gorica
0–0
D
27 Aug
vs FC Midtjylland
1–4
L
23 Aug
vs Istra 1961
3–2
W
20 Aug
@ FC Midtjylland
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ NK Varazdin
0–2
L
13 Aug
@ Ilves
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
NK Osijek – last 6
WLWWWL
30 Aug
vs NK Slaven Belupo
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ HNK Hajduk Split
0–4
L
15 Aug
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Rudes
6–1
W
1 Aug
@ HNK Gorica
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Rizespor
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Rijeka and NK Osijek.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek?
Our pick is HNK Rijeka or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NK Osijek 14%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 2–0 NK Osijek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek?
HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
