NK Varazdin 61%Draw 24%Istra 1961 15%Expected goals 2.19 – 1.06
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: NK Varazdin to win @ 1.78 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNK Varazdin to win ✗61% · @1.78
Double chanceNK Varazdin or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 4 September the HNL brings NK Varazdin against Istra 1961 at Gradski stadion Varazdin. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, NK Varazdin are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Istra 1961 are 4th (among the top four) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
NK Varazdin, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Rudes, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Istra 1961, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dinamo Zagreb, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours NK Varazdin, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Istra 1961.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended NK Varazdin 2–0 Istra 1961. The last 2 head-to-heads: NK Varazdin 1 win, Istra 1961 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NK Varazdin 2.2 xG, Istra 1961 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NK Varazdin 61%, draw 24%, Istra 1961 15%.
Lower-risk option: NK Varazdin or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: NK Varazdin to win @1.78 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Varazdin 2–1 Istra 1961. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NK Varazdin61%fair 1.64 · @1.78
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.55
Istra 196115%fair 6.56 · @4.00
3.25Expected goals
2.19NK Varazdin xG
1.06Istra 1961 xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: NK Varazdin 2.2 – 1.1 Istra 1961 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Istra 1961 15%.
How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 2–1 Istra 1961, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 (HNL) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Varazdin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
