Value bet: NK Varazdin to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNK Varazdin to win ✗51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21
HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Monday 14 September: HNK Gorica v NK Varazdin in the HNL, played at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica. In the table, HNK Gorica are 10th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 13 matches; NK Varazdin are 5th (upper half) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
HNK Gorica, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Uskok Klis, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
NK Varazdin, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Zagora, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours NK Varazdin, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for HNK Gorica.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Gorica. The last 2 head-to-heads: HNK Gorica 1 win, NK Varazdin 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Gorica 0.9 xG, NK Varazdin 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Gorica 26%, draw 23%, NK Varazdin 51%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: NK Varazdin to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Varazdin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Gorica26%fair 3.78 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.25
NK Varazdin51%fair 1.96 · @2.10
2.33Expected goals
0.91HNK Gorica xG
1.42NK Varazdin xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–210%
0–010%
1–29%
1–09%
From our goals model: HNK Gorica 0.9 – 1.4 NK Varazdin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?
On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and NK Varazdin 51%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?
Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Varazdin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?
HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin (HNL) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
