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HNK Hajduk Split v NK Slaven Belupo: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Stadion Poljud
HNK Hajduk Split 69%Draw 19%NK Slaven Belupo 12% Expected goals 2.30 – 0.87
69%
Betarazi pick

HNK Hajduk Split to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓69% · @1.30
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

HNK Hajduk Split welcome NK Slaven Belupo to Stadion Poljud for a HNL fixture on Sunday 13 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, HNK Hajduk Split are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 13 matches; NK Slaven Belupo are 7th (lower half) with 16. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

HNK Hajduk Split, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vardarac, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

NK Slaven Belupo, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Hrvatski Dragovoljac, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for NK Slaven Belupo.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended NK Slaven Belupo 2–2 HNK Hajduk Split.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HNK Hajduk Split 2.3 xG, NK Slaven Belupo 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Hajduk Split 69%, draw 19%, NK Slaven Belupo 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was HNK Hajduk Split to win (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HNK Hajduk Split69%fair 1.45 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @5.00
NK Slaven Belupo12%fair 8.14 · @8.00
3.17Expected goals
2.30HNK Hajduk Split xG
0.87NK Slaven Belupo xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
3–08%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 2.3 – 0.9 NK Slaven Belupo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓69%1.451.30
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓88%1.141.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.75
Draw no betHNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapHNK Hajduk Split -1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreHNK Hajduk Split to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultHNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time ✓51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split ✓46%2.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.34–

Recent results

HNK Hajduk Split – last 6

WWWDWD
8 Sep@ Vardarac2–0W
6 Sep@ Rudes4–0W
31 Augvs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2–0W
27 Aug@ Raków Częstochowa2–2D
23 Augvs NK Osijek4–0W
20 Augvs Raków Częstochowa2–2D
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

NK Slaven Belupo – last 6

WWLWLL
9 Sep@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac5–0W
6 Sepvs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2–1W
30 Aug@ NK Osijek0–3L
22 Augvs HNK Gorica2–0W
15 Aug@ Istra 19610–3L
9 Augvs NK Varazdin1–4L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026NK Slaven Belupo v HNK Hajduk Split2–2
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

More HNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo?

Our pick is HNK Hajduk Split to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo?

On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and NK Slaven Belupo 12%.

How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo?

Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo?

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.