Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
2
Value bet: HNK Hajduk Split to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32
HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Hajduk Split travel to face HNK Rijeka on Sunday 20 September in the HNL, with Stadion HNK Rijeka the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, HNK Rijeka are 6th, lower half, on 18 points after 12 matches; HNK Hajduk Split are 1st (leading the league) with 29.
Current form
HNK Rijeka, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Vrbovec, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
HNK Hajduk Split, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over NK Slaven Belupo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for HNK Rijeka.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Rijeka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Rijeka 1.5 xG, HNK Hajduk Split 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Rijeka 42%, draw 23%, HNK Hajduk Split 35%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: HNK Hajduk Split to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Rijeka 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Rijeka42%fair 2.38 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
HNK Hajduk Split35%fair 2.87 · @3.50
2.92Expected goals
1.54HNK Rijeka xG
1.38HNK Hajduk Split xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 1.5 – 1.4 HNK Hajduk Split expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and HNK Hajduk Split 35%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
