Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: NK Slaven Belupo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNK Slaven Belupo to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceNK Slaven Belupo or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rudes welcome NK Slaven Belupo to Gradski stadion Velika Gorica for a HNL fixture on Friday 18 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Rudes are 8th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 13 matches; NK Slaven Belupo are 7th (lower half) with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rudes, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Istra 1961, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
NK Slaven Belupo, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to HNK Hajduk Split, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours NK Slaven Belupo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Rudes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rudes 1.2 xG, NK Slaven Belupo 2.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rudes 17%, draw 26%, NK Slaven Belupo 58%.
Lower-risk option: NK Slaven Belupo or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: NK Slaven Belupo to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was NK Slaven Belupo or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rudes 1–2 NK Slaven Belupo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rudes17%fair 6.02 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.30
NK Slaven Belupo58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
3.50Expected goals
1.23Rudes xG
2.27NK Slaven Belupo xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Rudes 1.2 – 2.3 NK Slaven Belupo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Slaven Belupo to win✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
NK Slaven Belupo or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.65
Draw no bet
NK Slaven Belupo (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
NK Slaven Belupo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
NK Slaven Belupo to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
NK Slaven Belupo ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Slaven Belupo / FT NK Slaven Belupo✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Rudes – last 6
LWLLWL
13 Sep
@ Istra 1961
2–3
L
9 Sep
@ Koprivnica
3–2
W
6 Sep
vs HNK Hajduk Split
0–4
L
29 Aug
@ NK Varazdin
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4–1
W
14 Aug
@ Dinamo Zagreb
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
NK Slaven Belupo – last 6
LWWLWL
13 Sep
@ HNK Hajduk Split
0–1
L
9 Sep
@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac
5–0
W
6 Sep
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ NK Osijek
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs HNK Gorica
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Istra 1961
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rudes and NK Slaven Belupo.
What is the prediction for Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our pick is NK Slaven Belupo or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo?
On our numbers Rudes have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and NK Slaven Belupo 58%.
How many goals will there be in Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our predicted score is Rudes 1–2 NK Slaven Belupo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo (HNL) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
