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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

NK Osijek v Istra 1961: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Opus Arena
1–3
FT
NK Osijek 45%Draw 22%Istra 1961 34% Expected goals 1.86 – 1.58
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2

Value bet: Istra 1961 to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNK Osijek to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43

NK Osijek vs Istra 1961: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

NK Osijek welcome Istra 1961 to Opus Arena for a HNL fixture on Saturday 10 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, NK Osijek are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 13 matches; Istra 1961 are 4th (among the top four) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

NK Osijek, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bsk Bijelo Brdo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Istra 1961, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to HNK Gorica, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended NK Osijek 0–1 Istra 1961. The last 2 head-to-heads: NK Osijek 1 win, Istra 1961 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NK Osijek 1.9 xG, Istra 1961 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – NK Osijek 45%, draw 22%, Istra 1961 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Istra 1961 to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Osijek 1–1 Istra 1961. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

NK Osijek45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.40
Istra 196134%fair 2.98 · @3.40
3.44Expected goals
1.86NK Osijek xG
1.58Istra 1961 xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%

From our goals model: NK Osijek 1.9 – 1.6 Istra 1961 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNK Osijek to win ✗45%2.232.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.531.60
Draw no betNK Osijek (draw no bet) ✗57%1.75–
Asian handicapIstra 1961 +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
First team to scoreNK Osijek to score first52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓36%2.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT NK Osijek / FT NK Osijek ✗27%3.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.43–

Recent results

NK Osijek – last 6

DDWLLW
3 Octvs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1–1D
19 Sep@ NK Varazdin0–0D
12 Sepvs Dinamo Zagreb4–2W
9 Sep@ Segesta Sisak1–3L
5 Sep@ HNK Rijeka1–4L
30 Augvs NK Slaven Belupo3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Istra 1961 – last 6

LWWDDL
19 Sepvs HNK Gorica0–1L
13 Sepvs Rudes3–2W
8 Sep@ Zagorec5–0W
4 Sep@ NK Varazdin0–0D
29 Augvs Dinamo Zagreb2–2D
23 Aug@ HNK Rijeka2–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026NK Osijek v Istra 19610–1
6 Mar 2026Istra 1961 v NK Osijek0–1
NK Osijek vs Istra 1961 head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

More HNL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?

On our numbers NK Osijek have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Istra 1961 34%.

How many goals will there be in NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?

Our predicted score is NK Osijek 1–1 Istra 1961, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?

NK Osijek vs Istra 1961 (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Opus Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.