NK Slaven Belupo 15%Draw 19%HNK Rijeka 66%Expected goals 0.82 – 2.05
66%
Betarazi pick
HNK Rijeka to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✗66% · @1.55
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✗85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Rijeka travel to face NK Slaven Belupo on Sunday 11 October in the HNL, with Gradski Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, NK Slaven Belupo are 7th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; HNK Rijeka are 6th (lower half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
NK Slaven Belupo, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Olimpija Ljubljana, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
HNK Rijeka, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over HNK Hajduk Split, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours HNK Rijeka, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for NK Slaven Belupo.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended HNK Rijeka 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NK Slaven Belupo 0.8 xG, HNK Rijeka 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NK Slaven Belupo 15%, draw 19%, HNK Rijeka 66%.
Lower-risk option: HNK Rijeka or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was HNK Rijeka to win (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Slaven Belupo 0–2 HNK Rijeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NK Slaven Belupo15%fair 6.79 · @5.00
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.80
HNK Rijeka66%fair 1.51 · @1.55
2.87Expected goals
0.82NK Slaven Belupo xG
2.05HNK Rijeka xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: NK Slaven Belupo 0.8 – 2.0 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
Our pick is HNK Rijeka to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
On our numbers NK Slaven Belupo have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and HNK Rijeka 66%.
How many goals will there be in NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
Our predicted score is NK Slaven Belupo 0–2 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
