Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: HNK Hajduk Split to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Hajduk Split welcome NK Varazdin to Stadion Poljud for a HNL fixture on Sunday 18 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, HNK Hajduk Split are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 13 matches; NK Varazdin are 5th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
HNK Hajduk Split, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ajax, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
NK Varazdin, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for NK Varazdin.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended NK Varazdin 2–1 HNK Hajduk Split.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Hajduk Split 1.8 xG, NK Varazdin 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Hajduk Split 60%, draw 21%, NK Varazdin 19%.
Lower-risk option: HNK Hajduk Split or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: HNK Hajduk Split to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was HNK Hajduk Split or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Varazdin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Hajduk Split60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.50
NK Varazdin19%fair 5.23 · @4.00
2.67Expected goals
1.80HNK Hajduk Split xG
0.87NK Varazdin xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 1.8 – 0.9 NK Varazdin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
Our pick is HNK Hajduk Split or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NK Varazdin 19%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Varazdin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
