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NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v Istra 1961: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Stadion Maksimir
2–0
FT
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 39%Draw 21%Istra 1961 40% Expected goals 1.63 – 1.65
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2

Value bet: Istra 1961 to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIstra 1961 to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.97

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Istra 1961 travel to face NK Lokomotiva Zagreb on Saturday 17 October in the HNL, with Stadion Maksimir the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 9th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 13 matches; Istra 1961 are 4th (among the top four) with 19.

Current form

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to NK Varazdin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Istra 1961, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over NK Osijek, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Istra 1961, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Istra 1961 2–3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.6 xG, Istra 1961 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 39%, draw 21%, Istra 1961 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Istra 1961 to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 Istra 1961. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb39%fair 2.58 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Istra 196140%fair 2.52 · @2.75
3.28Expected goals
1.63NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
1.65Istra 1961 xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.6 – 1.7 Istra 1961 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIstra 1961 to win ✗40%2.522.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.60
Draw no betIstra 1961 (draw no bet) ✗51%1.98–
Asian handicapNK Lokomotiva Zagreb +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.71–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
First team to scoreIstra 1961 to score first ✗48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Istra 1961 / FT Istra 1961 ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.97–

Recent results

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – last 6

LLDWLL
11 Octvs NK Varazdin0–1L
20 Sep@ Dinamo Zagreb2–3L
12 Sepvs HNK Rijeka1–1D
9 Sep@ Cuba U202–0W
6 Sep@ NK Slaven Belupo1–2L
31 Aug@ HNK Hajduk Split0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Istra 1961 – last 6

WLWWDD
10 Oct@ NK Osijek3–1W
19 Sepvs HNK Gorica0–1L
13 Sepvs Rudes3–2W
8 Sep@ Zagorec5–0W
4 Sep@ NK Varazdin0–0D
29 Augvs Dinamo Zagreb2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026Istra 1961 v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2–3
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

More HNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

On our numbers NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Istra 1961 40%.

How many goals will there be in NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

Our predicted score is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 Istra 1961, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Maksimir.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.