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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rudes v HNK Rijeka: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Stadion Radnik

Rudes

WDLWL
1–2
FT
Rudes 17%Draw 19%HNK Rijeka 64% Expected goals 1.20 – 2.45
64%
Betarazi pick

HNK Rijeka to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓64% · @1.36
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.68

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 16 October the HNL brings Rudes against HNK Rijeka at Stadion Radnik. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Rudes are 8th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 13 matches; HNK Rijeka are 6th (lower half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Rudes, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over HNK Gorica, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

HNK Rijeka, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to NK Slaven Belupo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours HNK Rijeka, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Rudes.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended HNK Rijeka 2–1 Rudes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rudes 1.2 xG, HNK Rijeka 2.4 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rudes 17%, draw 19%, HNK Rijeka 64%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was HNK Rijeka to win (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rudes 1–2 HNK Rijeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rudes17%fair 6.05 · @7.50
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @4.60
HNK Rijeka64%fair 1.56 · @1.36
3.65Expected goals
1.20Rudes xG
2.45HNK Rijeka xG
56%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
0–28%
1–18%
1–38%
0–16%
0–36%

From our goals model: Rudes 1.2 – 2.4 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Rijeka to win ✓64%1.561.36
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓83%1.201.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.83
Draw no betHNK Rijeka (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapHNK Rijeka -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓50%1.98–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
First team to scoreHNK Rijeka to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultHNK Rijeka ahead at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka ✓43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%10.68–

Recent results

Rudes – last 6

WDLWLL
9 Oct@ HNK Gorica2–1W
18 Sepvs NK Slaven Belupo2–2D
13 Sep@ Istra 19612–3L
9 Sep@ Koprivnica3–2W
6 Sepvs HNK Hajduk Split0–4L
29 Aug@ NK Varazdin0–2L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

HNK Rijeka – last 6

LWWDWD
11 Oct@ NK Slaven Belupo1–4L
20 Sepvs HNK Hajduk Split3–0W
16 Sep@ Vrbovec6–0W
12 Sep@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1D
5 Sepvs NK Osijek4–1W
31 Aug@ HNK Gorica0–0D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026HNK Rijeka v Rudes2–1
Rudes vs HNK Rijeka head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rudes vs HNK Rijeka?

Our pick is HNK Rijeka to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Rudes vs HNK Rijeka?

On our numbers Rudes have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and HNK Rijeka 64%.

How many goals will there be in Rudes vs HNK Rijeka?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rudes vs HNK Rijeka?

Our predicted score is Rudes 1–2 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Rudes vs HNK Rijeka?

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka (HNL) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Radnik.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.