Value bet: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHNK Gorica to win ✗39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.02
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb travel to face HNK Gorica on Saturday 24 October in the HNL, with Gradski stadion Velika Gorica the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, HNK Gorica are 10th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 13 matches; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 9th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
HNK Gorica, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with NK Osijek, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Istra 1961, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–1 HNK Gorica. The last 2 head-to-heads: HNK Gorica 0 wins, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Gorica 1.3 xG, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Gorica 39%, draw 24%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Gorica39%fair 2.56 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb37%fair 2.72 · @2.90
2.60Expected goals
1.33HNK Gorica xG
1.27NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: HNK Gorica 1.3 – 1.3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 37%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
