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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Istra 1961 v HNK Hajduk Split: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Stadion Aldo Drosina
2–2
FT
Istra 1961 19%Draw 24%HNK Hajduk Split 57% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.97
81%
Betarazi pick

HNK Hajduk Split or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✗57% · @1.75
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Istra 1961 welcome HNK Hajduk Split to Stadion Aldo Drosina for a HNL fixture on Monday 26 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, Istra 1961 are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 13 matches; HNK Hajduk Split are 1st (leading the league) with 29.

Current form

Istra 1961, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

HNK Hajduk Split, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Thun, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Istra 1961.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended HNK Hajduk Split 2–2 Istra 1961. The last 2 head-to-heads: Istra 1961 0 wins, HNK Hajduk Split 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Istra 1961 1.1 xG, HNK Hajduk Split 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Istra 1961 19%, draw 24%, HNK Hajduk Split 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: HNK Hajduk Split or draw (81%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was HNK Hajduk Split or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Istra 1961 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Istra 196119%fair 5.25 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.60
HNK Hajduk Split57%fair 1.76 · @1.75
3.05Expected goals
1.08Istra 1961 xG
1.97HNK Hajduk Split xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Istra 1961 1.1 – 2.0 HNK Hajduk Split expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✗57%1.761.75
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.62
Draw no betHNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet)75%1.33–
Asian handicapIstra 1961 +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreHNK Hajduk Split to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultHNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split ✗37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Istra 1961 – last 6

LWLWWD
17 Oct@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2L
10 Oct@ NK Osijek3–1W
19 Sepvs HNK Gorica0–1L
13 Sepvs Rudes3–2W
8 Sep@ Zagorec5–0W
4 Sep@ NK Varazdin0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

HNK Hajduk Split – last 6

WWWWLW
22 Oct@ FC Thun1–0W
18 Octvs NK Varazdin1–0W
15 Octvs Ajax2–1W
10 Octvs Dinamo Zagreb2–1W
20 Sep@ HNK Rijeka0–3L
13 Sepvs NK Slaven Belupo1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Aug 2026HNK Hajduk Split v Istra 19612–2
7 Apr 2026Istra 1961 v HNK Hajduk Split1–3
Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our pick is HNK Hajduk Split or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?

On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and HNK Hajduk Split 57%.

How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our predicted score is Istra 1961 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split (HNL) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.