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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

HNK Hajduk Split v HNK Gorica: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Stadion Poljud
5–0
FT
HNK Hajduk Split 71%Draw 18%HNK Gorica 11% Expected goals 1.90 – 0.55
71%
Betarazi pick

HNK Hajduk Split to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓71% · @1.30
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.68

HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 31 October: HNK Hajduk Split v HNK Gorica in the HNL, played at Stadion Poljud. In the table, HNK Hajduk Split are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 13 matches; HNK Gorica are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

HNK Hajduk Split, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Istra 1961, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

HNK Gorica, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for HNK Gorica.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended HNK Gorica 1–2 HNK Hajduk Split.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HNK Hajduk Split 1.9 xG, HNK Gorica 0.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Hajduk Split 71%, draw 18%, HNK Gorica 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was HNK Hajduk Split to win (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Gorica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HNK Hajduk Split71%fair 1.41 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @5.00
HNK Gorica11%fair 9.16 · @8.50
2.45Expected goals
1.90HNK Hajduk Split xG
0.55HNK Gorica xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 1.9 – 0.5 HNK Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓71%1.411.30
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓89%1.121.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.961.95
Draw no betHNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapHNK Hajduk Split -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
First team to scoreHNK Hajduk Split to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultHNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time ✓48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split ✓45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.68–

Recent results

HNK Hajduk Split – last 6

DWWWWL
26 Oct@ Istra 19612–2D
22 Oct@ FC Thun1–0W
18 Octvs NK Varazdin1–0W
15 Octvs Ajax2–1W
10 Octvs Dinamo Zagreb2–1W
20 Sep@ HNK Rijeka0–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

HNK Gorica – last 6

DDLDWD
24 Octvs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–0D
17 Oct@ NK Osijek1–1D
9 Octvs Rudes1–2L
2 Octvs Bravo3–3D
19 Sep@ Istra 19611–0W
14 Sepvs NK Varazdin2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Aug 2026HNK Gorica v HNK Hajduk Split1–2
HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

More HNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?

Our pick is HNK Hajduk Split to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?

On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and HNK Gorica 11%.

How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?

Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?

HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.