HNK Rijeka 60%Draw 20%NK Varazdin 19%Expected goals 1.79 – 0.88
81%
Betarazi pick
HNK Rijeka or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Rijeka welcome NK Varazdin to Stadion HNK Rijeka for a HNL fixture on Sunday 1 November (15:00 WAT). In the table, HNK Rijeka are 6th, lower half, on 18 points after 12 matches; NK Varazdin are 5th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
HNK Rijeka, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
NK Varazdin, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours HNK Rijeka, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for NK Varazdin.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended NK Varazdin 2–0 HNK Rijeka. The last 2 head-to-heads: HNK Rijeka 0 wins, NK Varazdin 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Rijeka 1.8 xG, NK Varazdin 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Rijeka 60%, draw 20%, NK Varazdin 19%.
Lower-risk option: HNK Rijeka or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was HNK Rijeka or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Rijeka 1–0 NK Varazdin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Rijeka60%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.50
NK Varazdin19%fair 5.14 · @4.33
2.67Expected goals
1.79HNK Rijeka xG
0.88NK Varazdin xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 1.8 – 0.9 NK Varazdin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?
Our pick is HNK Rijeka or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and NK Varazdin 19%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 1–0 NK Varazdin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?
HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.