Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultValmiera BSS to win ✓70% · @1.17
Double chanceValmiera BSS or draw ✓86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Monday 22 June: Smiltene v Valmiera BSS in the Cup.
Current form
Smiltene, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Riga FC II, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Valmiera BSS, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Tukums II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Valmiera BSS, collecting 2.6 points per game to 0.3 for Smiltene.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Valmiera BSS 4–0 Smiltene.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Smiltene 1.3 xG, Valmiera BSS 2.6 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Smiltene 14%, draw 16%, Valmiera BSS 70%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Smiltene 1–2 Valmiera BSS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Smiltene14%fair 7.12 · @9.00
Draw16%fair 6.18 · @7.00
Valmiera BSS70%fair 1.43 · @1.17
3.92Expected goals
1.31Smiltene xG
2.62Valmiera BSS xG
64%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: Smiltene 1.3 – 2.6 Valmiera BSS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
On our numbers Smiltene have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Valmiera BSS 70%.
How many goals will there be in Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
Our predicted score is Smiltene 1–2 Valmiera BSS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS?
Smiltene vs Valmiera BSS (Cup) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Latvia
