Value bet: Aarhus to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultViborg to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.35
Viborg vs Aarhus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 14 August: Viborg v Aarhus in the Superliga, played at Energi Viborg Arena. In the table, Viborg are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 14 matches; Aarhus are 8th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Viborg, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sonderjyske, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Aarhus, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Sabah FA, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Viborg, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Aarhus.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended Aarhus 1–1 Viborg. The last 4 head-to-heads: Viborg 0 wins, Aarhus 3, draws 1. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 4 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Viborg 1.2 xG, Aarhus 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Viborg 44%, draw 21%, Aarhus 35%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Aarhus to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Viborg 1–1 Aarhus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Viborg44%fair 2.29 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.65
Aarhus35%fair 2.82 · @3.40
2.29Expected goals
1.23Viborg xG
1.06Aarhus xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Viborg 1.2 – 1.1 Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Viborg vs Aarhus?
On our numbers Viborg have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aarhus 35%.
How many goals will there be in Viborg vs Aarhus?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Viborg vs Aarhus?
Our predicted score is Viborg 1–1 Aarhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Viborg vs Aarhus?
Viborg vs Aarhus (Superliga) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Energi Viborg Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
