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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Nordsjaelland v Aarhus: numbers & prediction

Superliga · Denmark · Right to Dream Park
2–0
FT

Aarhus

DLLLD
FC Nordsjaelland 65%Draw 21%Aarhus 14% Expected goals 1.98 – 0.81
86%
Betarazi pick

FC Nordsjaelland or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: FC Nordsjaelland to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Nordsjaelland to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceFC Nordsjaelland or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 13 September the Superliga brings FC Nordsjaelland against Aarhus at Right to Dream Park. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, FC Nordsjaelland are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 14 matches; Aarhus are 8th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

FC Nordsjaelland, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Midtjylland, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Aarhus, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Silkeborg, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Nordsjaelland, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Aarhus.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 Aarhus. The last 2 head-to-heads: FC Nordsjaelland 0 wins, Aarhus 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Nordsjaelland 2.0 xG, Aarhus 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Nordsjaelland 65%, draw 21%, Aarhus 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Nordsjaelland or draw (86%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: FC Nordsjaelland to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Nordsjaelland or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 Aarhus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Nordsjaelland65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.80
Aarhus14%fair 6.93 · @3.90
2.79Expected goals
1.98FC Nordsjaelland xG
0.81Aarhus xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: FC Nordsjaelland 2.0 – 0.8 Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Nordsjaelland to win ✓65%1.541.75 ▲
Double chanceFC Nordsjaelland or draw ✓86%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.44
Draw no betFC Nordsjaelland (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapFC Nordsjaelland -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.89–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreFC Nordsjaelland to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultFC Nordsjaelland ahead at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Nordsjaelland / FT FC Nordsjaelland ✗42%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.26–

Recent results

FC Nordsjaelland – last 6

DLWWWW
7 Sep@ FC Midtjylland2–2D
3 Sep@ FC Copenhagen0–2L
30 Augvs Brondby3–1W
27 Aug@ FC ST. Gallen3–2W
23 Aug@ Sonderjyske3–0W
20 Augvs FC ST. Gallen1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Aarhus – last 6

DLLLDL
5 Sepvs Silkeborg2–2D
2 Sepvs FC Midtjylland0–2L
30 Aug@ Randers FC1–2L
27 Augvs Benfica1–3L
23 Augvs Odense2–2D
20 Aug@ Benfica1–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Apr 2026FC Nordsjaelland v Aarhus1–1
10 Apr 2026Aarhus v FC Nordsjaelland1–1
FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus head-to-head page →

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Copenhagen141022+1732
2FC Midtjylland14950+1232
3Viborg14824+926
4FC Nordsjaelland14653+823
5Brondby14716+222
6Odense14455-317
7AC Horsens14446016
8Aarhus14365-215
9Silkeborg14365-615
10Lyngby14257-1011
11Randers FC14329-1311
12Sonderjyske14239-149

More Superliga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?

Our pick is FC Nordsjaelland or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?

On our numbers FC Nordsjaelland have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aarhus 14%.

How many goals will there be in FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?

Our predicted score is FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 Aarhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?

FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Right to Dream Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.