AC Horsens 14%Draw 22%Aarhus 63%Expected goals 0.99 – 2.20
86%
Betarazi pick
Aarhus or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Aarhus to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAarhus to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceAarhus or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
AC Horsens vs Aarhus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aarhus travel to face AC Horsens on Sunday 20 September in the Superliga, with CASA Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, AC Horsens are 7th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Aarhus are 8th (lower half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AC Horsens, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Næsby, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Aarhus, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Skjold Sæby, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AC Horsens, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Aarhus.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Jul 2026) it ended Aarhus 2–0 AC Horsens.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AC Horsens 1.0 xG, Aarhus 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AC Horsens 14%, draw 22%, Aarhus 63%.
Lower-risk option: Aarhus or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Aarhus to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aarhus or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AC Horsens 0–2 Aarhus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AC Horsens14%fair 6.96 · @3.90
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.50
Aarhus63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
3.19Expected goals
0.99AC Horsens xG
2.20Aarhus xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: AC Horsens 1.0 – 2.2 Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Aarhus or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AC Horsens vs Aarhus?
On our numbers AC Horsens have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aarhus 63%.
How many goals will there be in AC Horsens vs Aarhus?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Horsens vs Aarhus?
Our predicted score is AC Horsens 0–2 Aarhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is AC Horsens vs Aarhus?
AC Horsens vs Aarhus (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at CASA Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
