Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultYarmouk to win ✓61% · @1.40
Double chanceYarmouk or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Yarmouk vs Burgan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Yarmouk welcome Burgan for a Division 1 fixture on Tuesday 11 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Yarmouk are 2nd on 7 points after 3 matches; Burgan are 5th with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Yarmouk, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Shamiya, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Burgan, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Sahel, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Momentum favours Yarmouk, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Burgan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yarmouk 1.7 xG, Burgan 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yarmouk 61%, draw 24%, Burgan 16%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Yarmouk to win (61%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yarmouk 1–0 Burgan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yarmouk61%fair 1.64 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.80
Burgan16%fair 6.43 · @7.50
2.55Expected goals
1.74Yarmouk xG
0.81Burgan xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Yarmouk 1.7 – 0.8 Burgan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yarmouk to win✓
61%
1.64
1.40
Double chance
Yarmouk or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Yarmouk (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Burgan +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Yarmouk to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yarmouk / FT Yarmouk✓
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Yarmouk – last 3
LWL
2 Aug
@ Shamiya
0–3
L
29 Jul
@ Sporty
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Al Sahel
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Burgan – last 4
DLLL
2 Aug
@ Al Sahel
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs Al Jazira
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Sporty
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Al Qadsia
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yarmouk and Burgan.
Our pick is Yarmouk to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Yarmouk vs Burgan?
On our numbers Yarmouk have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Burgan 16%.
How many goals will there be in Yarmouk vs Burgan?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yarmouk vs Burgan?
Our predicted score is Yarmouk 1–0 Burgan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Yarmouk vs Burgan?
Yarmouk vs Burgan (Division 1) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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