Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultBurgan to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceBurgan or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.23
Burgan vs Shamiya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shamiya travel to face Burgan on Monday 17 August in the Division 1 – the ball rolls at 18:15 WAT. In the table, Burgan are 5th on 4 points after 3 matches; Shamiya are 6th with 0.
Current form
Burgan, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Khaitan, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Shamiya, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Sporty, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Shamiya, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Burgan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burgan 2.1 xG, Shamiya 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 48% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burgan 62%, draw 22%, Shamiya 16%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Burgan to win (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burgan 2–0 Shamiya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burgan62%fair 1.62 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.20
Shamiya16%fair 6.19 · @5.50
3.02Expected goals
2.05Burgan xG
0.97Shamiya xG
48%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Burgan 2.1 – 1.0 Shamiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burgan to win✓
62%
1.62
1.44
Double chance
Burgan or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Burgan (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Burgan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Burgan to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Burgan ahead at half-time
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burgan / FT Burgan
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
14.23
–
Recent results
Burgan – last 6
DLDLLL
14 Aug
@ Khaitan
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ Yarmouk
1–3
L
2 Aug
@ Al Sahel
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs Al Jazira
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Sporty
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Al Qadsia
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Shamiya – last 5
LLWLW
14 Aug
vs Sporty
3–4
L
6 Aug
vs Al Jazira
0–5
L
2 Aug
vs Yarmouk
3–0
W
29 Jul
@ Al Sulaibikhat
0–3
L
25 Jul
@ Khaitan
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgan and Shamiya.
Our pick is Burgan to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Burgan vs Shamiya?
On our numbers Burgan have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shamiya 16%.
How many goals will there be in Burgan vs Shamiya?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgan vs Shamiya?
Our predicted score is Burgan 2–0 Shamiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Burgan vs Shamiya?
Burgan vs Shamiya (Division 1) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Sulaibikhat0
Al Sahel0