Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✓64% · @1.72
Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.35
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barracas Central travel to face Estudiantes L.P. on Thursday 27 August in the Copa Argentina – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Estudiantes L.P., last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sarmiento Junin, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Barracas Central, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Platense, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes L.P. 1.9 xG, Barracas Central 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes L.P. 64%, draw 22%, Barracas Central 15%.
Lower-risk option: Estudiantes L.P. or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.35.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes L.P. 2–0 Barracas Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes L.P.64%fair 1.57 · @1.72
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Barracas Central15%fair 6.69 · @5.40
2.70Expected goals
1.90Estudiantes L.P. xG
0.79Barracas Central xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.9 – 0.8 Barracas Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✓
64%
1.57
1.72 ▲
Double chance
Estudiantes L.P. or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.35 ▲
Draw no bet
Estudiantes L.P. (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Estudiantes L.P. -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.04
First team to score
Estudiantes L.P. to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Estudiantes L.P. ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Estudiantes L.P. – last 6
LWWDLL
23 Aug
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–2
L
19 Aug
@ U. Catolica
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Gimnasia L.P.
4–0
W
12 Aug
vs U. Catolica
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Boca Juniors
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barracas Central – last 6
LLLWWW
23 Aug
vs Platense
1–2
L
17 Aug
vs Rosario Central
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Gimnasia L.P.
0–2
L
2 Aug
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–0
W
29 Jul
vs Aldosivi
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ River Plate
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and Barracas Central.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Barracas Central 15%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 2–0 Barracas Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central (Copa Argentina) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
