Atletico Grau 42%Draw 28%Sport Boys 30%Expected goals 1.15 – 0.95
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Sport Boys to win @ 3.55 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Grau to win ✗42% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.97
Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 1 August the Primera División brings Atletico Grau against Sport Boys at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Atletico Grau are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Sport Boys are 8th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Atletico Grau, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sport Huancayo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sport Boys, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over ADT, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended Sport Boys 1–0 Atletico Grau.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Grau 1.2 xG, Sport Boys 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Grau 42%, draw 28%, Sport Boys 30%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Sport Boys to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Grau 1–0 Sport Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Grau42%fair 2.41 · @2.14
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.10
Sport Boys30%fair 3.32 · @3.55
2.10Expected goals
1.15Atletico Grau xG
0.95Sport Boys xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.2 – 0.9 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
Attack vs Primera División average
-16%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-23%
Our expected goals here
1.14
0.95
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sport Boys 30%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–0 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
