Value bet: Deportivo Garcilaso to win @ 2.78 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Garcilaso to win ✗39% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.10
Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cienciano welcome Deportivo Garcilaso to Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega for a Primera División fixture on Monday 17 August (00:30 WAT). In the table, Cienciano are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th (among the top four) with 29. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cienciano, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Botafogo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Deportivo Garcilaso, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over UCV Moquegua, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Deportivo Garcilaso, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Cienciano.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Jun 2026) it ended Cienciano 2–1 Deportivo Garcilaso. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cienciano 2 wins, Deportivo Garcilaso 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cienciano 1.3 xG, Deportivo Garcilaso 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cienciano 39%, draw 22%, Deportivo Garcilaso 39%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Garcilaso to win @2.78 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cienciano 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cienciano39%fair 2.57 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Deportivo Garcilaso39%fair 2.54 · @2.78
2.67Expected goals
1.33Cienciano xG
1.34Deportivo Garcilaso xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cienciano 1.3 – 1.3 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers Cienciano have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Garcilaso 39%.
How many goals will there be in Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is Cienciano 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
