Atletico Grau 60%Draw 24%Comerciantes Unidos 16%Expected goals 1.60 – 0.68
84%
Betarazi pick
Atletico Grau or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Grau to win @ 1.88 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Grau to win ✓60% · @1.88
Double chanceAtletico Grau or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.08
Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Friday 14 August: Atletico Grau v Comerciantes Unidos in the Primera División, played at Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo. In the table, Atletico Grau are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Comerciantes Unidos are 13th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Atletico Grau, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Juan Pablo II College, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cusco, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Comerciantes Unidos 3–1 Atletico Grau.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Grau 1.6 xG, Comerciantes Unidos 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Grau 60%, draw 24%, Comerciantes Unidos 16%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Grau or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Atletico Grau to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Grau or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Grau 1–0 Comerciantes Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Grau60%fair 1.67 · @1.88
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.30
Comerciantes Unidos16%fair 6.31 · @4.30
2.27Expected goals
1.60Atletico Grau xG
0.68Comerciantes Unidos xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.6 – 0.7 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our pick is Atletico Grau or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Comerciantes Unidos 16%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–0 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
