Value bet: Universitario to win @ 2.06 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUniversitario to win ✓53% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.53
UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:30 WAT, Saturday 29 August: UTC Cajamarca v Universitario in the Primera División, played at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. In the table, UTC Cajamarca are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 16 matches; Universitario are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UTC Cajamarca, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alianza Atletico, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Universitario, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Club Deportivo Los Chankas, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Universitario, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for UTC Cajamarca.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Universitario 2–0 UTC Cajamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UTC Cajamarca 1.0 xG, Universitario 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UTC Cajamarca 24%, draw 23%, Universitario 53%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Universitario to win @2.06 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: UTC Cajamarca 0–1 Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UTC Cajamarca24%fair 4.18 · @3.55
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Universitario53%fair 1.87 · @2.06
2.56Expected goals
0.96UTC Cajamarca xG
1.60Universitario xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.0 – 1.6 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario?
On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Universitario 53%.
How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario?
Our predicted score is UTC Cajamarca 0–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario?
UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
