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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cienciano v Cusco: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
1–2
FT

Cusco

LWLWL
Cienciano 44%Draw 21%Cusco 35% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.38
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Cusco to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCienciano to win ✗44% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16

Cienciano vs Cusco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 31 August the Primera División brings Cienciano against Cusco at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Cienciano are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Cusco are 10th (lower half) with 24.

Current form

Cienciano, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Sport Boys, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Cusco, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Deportivo Garcilaso, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Jun 2026) it ended Cusco 1–2 Cienciano. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cienciano 2 wins, Cusco 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cienciano 1.6 xG, Cusco 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cienciano 44%, draw 21%, Cusco 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: Cusco to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cienciano 1–1 Cusco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cienciano44%fair 2.27 · @2.12
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.55
Cusco35%fair 2.89 · @3.20
2.97Expected goals
1.59Cienciano xG
1.38Cusco xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Cienciano 1.6 – 1.4 Cusco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCienciano to win ✗44%2.272.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.55
Draw no betCienciano (draw no bet) ✗56%1.79–
Asian handicapCusco +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.531.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.231.17
First team to scoreCienciano to score first ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cienciano / FT Cienciano ✗25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.16–

Recent results

Cienciano – last 6

LLDWLW
23 Aug@ Sport Boys1–5L
21 Aug@ Botafogo0–1L
17 Augvs Deportivo Garcilaso0–0D
14 Augvs Botafogo6–1W
6 Aug@ Alianza Atletico0–1L
3 Augvs Universitario2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cusco – last 6

LWLWLW
23 Aug@ Deportivo Garcilaso1–4L
15 Augvs Juan Pablo II College2–0W
7 Aug@ Comerciantes Unidos1–3L
2 Augvs UTC Cajamarca4–1W
25 Jul@ Universitario1–2L
19 Julvs Alianza Atletico4–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Jun 2026Cusco v Cienciano1–2
16 Mar 2026Cusco v Cienciano1–2
Cienciano vs Cusco head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cienciano vs Cusco?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Cienciano vs Cusco?

On our numbers Cienciano have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cusco 35%.

How many goals will there be in Cienciano vs Cusco?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cienciano vs Cusco?

Our predicted score is Cienciano 1–1 Cusco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Cienciano vs Cusco?

Cienciano vs Cusco (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.