Comerciantes Unidos v FC Cajamarca Prediction & Expected Goals (28 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultComerciantes Unidos to win ✗64% · @1.57

Double chanceComerciantes Unidos or draw ✗85% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Cajamarca travel to face Comerciantes Unidos on Friday 28 August in the Primera División, with Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Comerciantes Unidos are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; FC Cajamarca are 14th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over UTC Cajamarca, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

FC Cajamarca, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Atletico Grau, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Comerciantes Unidos, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for FC Cajamarca.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended FC Cajamarca 3–4 Comerciantes Unidos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Comerciantes Unidos 2.0 xG, FC Cajamarca 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Comerciantes Unidos 64%, draw 21%, FC Cajamarca 15%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Comerciantes Unidos 2–0 FC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Comerciantes Unidos64%fair 1.56 · @1.57

Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.80

FC Cajamarca15%fair 6.74 · @5.90

2.82Expected goals

1.98Comerciantes Unidos xG

0.83FC Cajamarca xG

51%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%

2–012%

1–110%

2–110%

3–08%

3–16%

From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 2.0 – 0.8 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Comerciantes Unidos to win ✗	64%	1.56	1.57
Double chance	Comerciantes Unidos or draw ✗	85%	1.17	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.96	1.85
Draw no bet	Comerciantes Unidos (draw no bet) ✗	81%	1.23	–
Asian handicap	Comerciantes Unidos -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.92	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	85%	1.18	1.11
First team to score	Comerciantes Unidos to score first ✗	66%	1.51	–
Half-time result	Comerciantes Unidos ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.17	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Comerciantes Unidos / FT Comerciantes Unidos ✗	41%	2.43	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.20	–

Comerciantes Unidos – last 6

WLWLDD

22 Aug	@ UTC Cajamarca	3–1	W
14 Aug	@ Atletico Grau	0–1	L
7 Aug	vs Cusco	3–1	W
31 Jul	@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas	2–3	L
26 Jul	vs Alianza Lima	2–2	D
18 Jul	@ UCV Moquegua	2–2	D

2.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

FC Cajamarca – last 6

LLWLLD

21 Aug	vs Atletico Grau	1–3	L
16 Aug	vs Universitario	2–3	L
9 Aug	@ FBC Melgar	4–2	W
1 Aug	vs Sport Huancayo	0–2	L
27 Jul	@ Deportivo Garcilaso	1–2	L
17 Jul	vs Juan Pablo II College	2–2	D

1.7Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Primera División table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca?

On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Cajamarca 15%.

How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca?

Our predicted score is Comerciantes Unidos 2–0 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca?

Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Comerciantes Unidos v FC Cajamarca: numbers & prediction