Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: FBC Melgar to win @ 2.76 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFBC Melgar to win ✗39% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.54
Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Grau welcome FBC Melgar to Estadio Miguel Grau for a Primera División fixture on Tuesday 1 September (21:00 WAT). In the table, Atletico Grau are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; FBC Melgar are 5th (upper half) with 29.
Current form
Atletico Grau, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sport Boys, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
FBC Melgar, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alianza Lima, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FBC Melgar, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Atletico Grau.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended FBC Melgar 0–0 Atletico Grau.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Grau 1.1 xG, FBC Melgar 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Grau 36%, draw 24%, FBC Melgar 39%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: FBC Melgar to win @2.76 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Grau 1–1 FBC Melgar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Grau36%fair 2.76 · @2.65
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.05
FBC Melgar39%fair 2.53 · @2.76
2.36Expected goals
1.15Atletico Grau xG
1.21FBC Melgar xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.1 – 1.2 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FBC Melgar 39%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–1 FBC Melgar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar?
Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Grau.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
