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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FBC Melgar v ADT: numbers & prediction

3–0
FT

ADT

LWLDD
FBC Melgar 67%Draw 23%ADT 10% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.71
67%
Betarazi pick

FBC Melgar to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultFBC Melgar to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chanceFBC Melgar or draw ✓90% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60

FBC Melgar vs ADT: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FBC Melgar welcome ADT for a Primera División fixture on Monday 7 September (00:30 WAT). In the table, FBC Melgar are 5th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; ADT are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FBC Melgar, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Grau, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

ADT, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sport Huancayo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended ADT 1–1 FBC Melgar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FBC Melgar 2.0 xG, ADT 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FBC Melgar 67%, draw 23%, ADT 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FBC Melgar to win (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: FBC Melgar 2–0 ADT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FBC Melgar67%fair 1.50 · @1.36
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.20
ADT10%fair 9.66 · @8.50
2.73Expected goals
2.02FBC Melgar xG
0.71ADT xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: FBC Melgar 2.0 – 0.7 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFBC Melgar to win ✓67%1.501.36
Double chanceFBC Melgar or draw ✓90%1.121.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.91 ▲
Draw no betFBC Melgar (draw no bet) ✓87%1.16–
Asian handicapFBC Melgar -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreFBC Melgar to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultFBC Melgar ahead at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar ✓44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.60–

Recent results

FBC Melgar – last 6

LDWLDW
1 Sep@ Atletico Grau0–1L
23 Augvs Alianza Lima1–1D
15 Aug@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas3–0W
9 Augvs FC Cajamarca2–4L
2 Aug@ UCV Moquegua0–0D
26 Julvs Sporting Cristal2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

ADT – last 6

LWLDDL
30 Augvs Sport Huancayo1–3L
27 Augvs UCV Moquegua2–0W
22 Aug@ Juan Pablo II College1–5L
15 Augvs Alianza Atletico1–1D
8 Aug@ UTC Cajamarca1–1D
2 Augvs Deportivo Garcilaso0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Mar 2026ADT v FBC Melgar1–1
FBC Melgar vs ADT head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FBC Melgar vs ADT?

Our pick is FBC Melgar to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win FBC Melgar vs ADT?

On our numbers FBC Melgar have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and ADT 10%.

How many goals will there be in FBC Melgar vs ADT?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FBC Melgar vs ADT?

Our predicted score is FBC Melgar 2–0 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is FBC Melgar vs ADT?

FBC Melgar vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.